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SVN ECONOMIC UPDATE – JULY 28, 2023

1. FED INTEREST RATE DECISION On July 26th, The Federal Reserve raised their benchmark interest-rate by 25 bps, reversing a pause in rate-hikes that occurred in June.  While the June pause was intended to start a “wait and see” approach by officials, their meeting minutes and commentary in recent weeks suggested to the market that […]

ECONOMIC UPDATE – JULY 16, 2023

1. INFLATION The consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.2% month-over-month and 3.0% year-over-year through June, according to the latest numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. June’s monthly pace was a slightly uptick from May, but inflation continued to trend down on an annual basis. Shelter remains the largest contributor to month-over-month price increases, […]

ECONOMIC UPDATE – JUNE 30, 2023

1. INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK Despite the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates constant at their June meeting, current market forecasts project an 81.8% chance that the FOMC will move forward with a 25-basis point hike in July, according to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s Fed Watch Tool.  In June, officials placed their year-plus hiking cycle on […]

ECONOMIC UPDATE – JUNE 16, 2023

1. FED MEETING MINUTES Minutes from the FOMC’s May 2-3 policy meeting showed that central bank policymakers were split on the decision to continue raising interest rates or pause increases during its most recent vote.  Ultimately, the decision to raise rates by 25 basis points in May was unanimous. However, the minutes signal that officials […]

MAY 26, 2023

The SVN Difference

1. FED MEETING MINUTES Minutes from the FOMC’s May 2-3 policy meeting showed that central bank policymakers were split on the decision to continue raising interest rates or pause increases during its most recent vote.  Ultimately, the decision to raise rates by 25 basis points in May was unanimous. However, the minutes signal that officials […]

MAY 12, 2023

The SVN Difference

1. CPI INFLATION RATE  US annual inflation continues to decelerate through April. As reported by the BLS, the Consumer Price Index grew 4.9% year-over-year as of the most recent reading. The current pace of growth indicates a slowdown compared to the 5% year-over-year growth witnessed in March, signaling a gradual easing of inflationary pressures. Despite […]

APRIL 28, 2023

The SVN Difference

1. Q1 2023 DGP  The US economy grew at an annualized rate of 1.1% during the first quarter of this year, slowing significantly from the Q4 2022 annualized rate of 2.6% and registering well below the Dow Jones consensus forecast of 2.0%.  Growth in Q1 primarily reflected an increase in consumer spending partially offset by […]